Here is a random game with a spinner with, 4, outcomes [1, 2, 3] plus the Fox A board of size , 60, that looks like this [0, 1, 3, 3, 2, 1, 4, 2, 2, 3, 4, 4, 2, 1, 3, 4, 1, 4, 1, 2, 3, 2, 2, 4, 4, 3, 3, 1, 2, 1, 4, 1, 2, 2, 3, 3, 4, 2, 2, 4, 1, 1, 3, 4, 1, 2, 1, 2, 3, 4, 3, 3, 2, 1, 3, 3, 3, 1, 4, 3] with , 8, blue squares at locations {4, 5, 27, 41, 42, 43, 53, 54} Limiting the number of rounds to, 60 The prob. of winning is, 0.30565838957465494675 The expected number of chicks , 57.495066007164722751 The expected number of turns , 24.357555590646237349 The expected number of turns if winning is , 20.905221408011232689 If you simulate it, 100000, times, you would get The prob. of winning is, 0.30550000000000000000, which deviates from the theoretical value by, 0.00015838957465494675 The expected number of chicks , 57.495380000000000000, which deviates from the theoretical value by, -0.000313992835277249 The expected number of turns , 24.378440000000000000, which deviates from the theoretical value by, -0.020884409353762651 The expected number of turns if winning is , 20.957970540098199673, which deviates from the theoretical value by, -0.052749132086966984 --------------------------------------------- Here is a random game with a spinner with, 4, outcomes [1, 2, 3] plus the Fox A board of size , 60, that looks like this [0, 3, 1, 1, 4, 1, 3, 2, 3, 1, 4, 4, 3, 1, 1, 2, 1, 2, 2, 4, 3, 4, 4, 2, 2, 1, 4, 1, 4, 1, 2, 1, 3, 1, 1, 1, 1, 4, 1, 2, 1, 4, 4, 1, 3, 1, 4, 3, 4, 2, 1, 1, 1, 2, 1, 1, 1, 2, 3, 3] with , 8, blue squares at locations {3, 15, 27, 28, 30, 31, 37, 53} Limiting the number of rounds to, 60 The prob. of winning is, 0.11088422221961753687 The expected number of chicks , 56.430202598737714716 The expected number of turns , 20.277234218391264013 The expected number of turns if winning is , 16.794055453410070570 If you simulate it, 100000, times, you would get The prob. of winning is, 0.11068000000000000000, which deviates from the theoretical value by, 0.00020422221961753687 The expected number of chicks , 56.442530000000000000, which deviates from the theoretical value by, -0.012327401262285284 The expected number of turns , 20.229460000000000000, which deviates from the theoretical value by, 0.047774218391264013 The expected number of turns if winning is , 16.751626310083122515, which deviates from the theoretical value by, 0.042429143326948055 --------------------------------------------- Here is a random game with a spinner with, 4, outcomes [1, 2, 3] plus the Fox A board of size , 60, that looks like this [0, 1, 4, 2, 3, 2, 3, 1, 3, 3, 3, 4, 4, 4, 3, 4, 2, 4, 4, 4, 3, 3, 3, 4, 1, 1, 3, 1, 4, 4, 3, 4, 2, 1, 1, 2, 3, 3, 2, 1, 3, 4, 1, 3, 3, 1, 2, 3, 1, 1, 4, 1, 3, 2, 1, 3, 2, 3, 3, 3] with , 8, blue squares at locations {7, 22, 38, 39, 43, 51, 54, 55} Limiting the number of rounds to, 60 The prob. of winning is, 0.23258557824404314985 The expected number of chicks , 57.134638456488154228 The expected number of turns , 22.272791869295658297 The expected number of turns if winning is , 18.671873020787499471 If you simulate it, 100000, times, you would get The prob. of winning is, 0.23143000000000000000, which deviates from the theoretical value by, 0.00115557824404314985 The expected number of chicks , 57.135940000000000000, which deviates from the theoretical value by, -0.001301543511845772 The expected number of turns , 22.279560000000000000, which deviates from the theoretical value by, -0.006768130704341703 The expected number of turns if winning is , 18.659508274640279998, which deviates from the theoretical value by, 0.012364746147219473 --------------------------------------------- Here is a random game with a spinner with, 4, outcomes [1, 2, 3] plus the Fox A board of size , 60, that looks like this [0, 4, 3, 2, 4, 4, 4, 2, 4, 1, 1, 2, 4, 2, 4, 2, 3, 4, 2, 3, 1, 1, 3, 4, 2, 2, 2, 1, 3, 2, 3, 4, 1, 3, 4, 1, 2, 3, 4, 1, 1, 4, 3, 2, 3, 1, 1, 3, 1, 4, 3, 4, 1, 3, 1, 4, 3, 4, 3, 2] with , 8, blue squares at locations {15, 17, 29, 30, 42, 43, 45, 50} Limiting the number of rounds to, 60 The prob. of winning is, 0.25186466617035983809 The expected number of chicks , 57.305700917847369069 The expected number of turns , 21.294024059910605318 The expected number of turns if winning is , 17.806515133568681918 If you simulate it, 100000, times, you would get The prob. of winning is, 0.25660000000000000000, which deviates from the theoretical value by, -0.00473533382964016191 The expected number of chicks , 57.311040000000000000, which deviates from the theoretical value by, -0.005339082152630931 The expected number of turns , 21.312920000000000000, which deviates from the theoretical value by, -0.018895940089394682 The expected number of turns if winning is , 17.828409976617303196, which deviates from the theoretical value by, -0.021894843048621278