Here is the ORIGINAL discussed by David and Lori McCune a spinner with, 6, outcomes [1, 2, 3, 4, 5] plus the Fox A board of size , 40, that looks like [0, 0, 4, 3, 5, 1, 2, 3, 1, 2, 4, 5, 0, 1, 3, 0, 0, 0, 5, 0, 5, 2, 4, 1, 2, 3, 5, 0, 4, 1, 0, 0, 5, 3, 4, 2, 0, 4, 1, 3] with , 6, blue squares at locations {5, 9, 23, 36, 40} Limiting the number of rounds to, 80 The prob. of winning is, 0.64103739962313655667 The expected number of chicks , 39.322304391423431771 The expected number of turns , 11.447067101613353025 The expected number of turns if winning is , 10.621771427088784897 If you simulate it, 1000000, times, you would get The prob. of winning is, 0.64097300000000000000, which deviates from the theoretical value by, 0.00006439962313655667 The expected number of chicks , 39.321900000000000000, which deviates from the theoretical value by, 0.000404391423431771 The expected number of turns , 11.447410000000000000, which deviates from the theoretical value by, -0.000342898386646975 The expected number of turns if winning is , 10.619486312215959175, which deviates from the theoretical value by, 0.002285114872825722