Math Theory of Probability
Mathematics 477 — Spring 2011

Prof. Weibel (640:477:02)

Tentative Course Syllabus   (go to homework table)

Week Lecture dates Sections topics
11/20 (Thurs) 1.1-1.6 Combinatorics
21/24, 1/27 2.1-2.5 Axioms of probability; inclusion/exclusion formula;Equally likely outcomes
3 1/31, 2/32.5, 3.1-3.3 More examples; Stirling's approximation;
Conditional probability and Bayes' formula
42/7, 2/103.4-3.5 Independent events, Repeated independent trials
52/14, 2/174.1-4.5, 4.9 Discrete random variables and distribution functions; Expectation and variance
62/21, 2/244.6-4.10 Special Random variables: Bernoulli, binomial, Poisson, geometric, negative binomial, and hypergeometric random variables
72/28, 3/3Review, EXAM 1 Covers work on this syllabus through Chapter 4
83/7, 3/105.1--5.5 Continuous random variables and distribution functions;
Uniform, exponential and normal distributions
8+3/12-3/20SPRING BREAKindividual
93/21, 3/245.6.1, 5.7, 6.1 Gamma random variable; functions of a random variable;
Joint distributions of several random variables
103/28, 3/316.2-6.3 Independent random variables and their sums
11  4/4,   4/77.1, 7.2, 7.4 Linearity of expectation; covariance and correlation
124/11, 4/14EXAM 2 Covers work on this syllabus covered since Exam 1
134/18, 4/216.4, 6.5, 7.5, 7.7 Conditional expectation; conditional distributions; moment generating functions
144/25, 4/288.1-8.3 Markov and Chebyshev inequalities; weak law of large numbers;
Central Limit Theorem
15 5/2 (Mon.)8.3 Proof of the central limit theorem; examples.
FINAL 5/11 (Wed) 12:00--3 PM The exam will be cumulative, and will be in ARC 205

go to homework table

Syllabus in Catalogue: Basic probability theory in both discrete and continuous sample spaces, combinations, random variables and their distribution functions, expectations, law of large numbers, central limit theorem.


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Charles Weibel / Spring 2011